Roma have already secured at least €53.1m in UEFA Champions League prize money, according to an analysis published by Football Meets Data, and that sum is guaranteed even in the worst scenario for the rest of the tournament. The figure is the minimum total indicated by the source, and it can grow through results and progression to the later rounds.
The analysis separates money already banked, money still to be paid and money that will depend on results on the pitch. Of the €53.1m, €41.4m would already have been paid in September. The difference is money Roma have earned but will receive according to the scheduled payment dates.
The next date highlighted by Football Meets Data is 20 November, when the prizes linked to results from the first four matchdays of the league phase will be paid. The system is simple: each win is worth €2.1m and each draw €700,000. Roma have already earned €2.8m from the points they have taken. A win in the fourth matchday would take that figure to €4.9m, while a draw would raise it to €3.5m. A defeat would leave it at €2.8m.
These sums form part of the overall season total. The November payment is one of the instalments through which UEFA distributes prizes, not an amount to be added again to revenue already counted. Alongside the guaranteed sums, Football Meets Data presents a projection of Roma's route. In the single scenario illustrated, Roma would finish the league phase in 13th place with 13 points, qualifying for the playoff round for the last 16.
Compared with the four points already considered in the analysis, the nine additional points would bring another €6.3m in match prizes. On top of that, around €6.7m would be linked to finishing 13th in the final standings. The league-phase position also matters financially, as UEFA allocates part of its revenue according to placing, so a higher finish improves the prize.
In the scenario described, Roma would also receive €1m for finishing between ninth and sixteenth place and another €1m for taking part in the playoff. The first reward recognises the position reached, the second the entry into the knockout round. The biggest jump would come from getting past the playoff. Following the path hypothesised by Football Meets Data, Roma would reach the round of 16 and earn a further €11m.
That is one of the decisive elements in approaching the total of €78.9m indicated in the analysis. The figure should be read as the product of a precise combination: 13th place, 13 points in the league phase and a subsequent progression to the last 16 through the playoff. It is not money already secured but a forecast dependent on results still to be earned.
The total also includes sums whose payment is scheduled further ahead. In June 2027, Roma will receive, according to the source, €7.86m, corresponding to the remaining 25% of the so-called Value Pillar. This component reflects the share of UEFA revenue distributed by considering the value of television markets and club coefficients. It is different from prizes for wins and qualifications: in the analysis it is treated as fixed, and the balance does not depend on upcoming matches.
An additional payment of €750,000 is scheduled for October 2027 as the balance of the participation bonus. Again, this is money already included in the count, which will be physically collected later.
Football Meets Data also distinguishes the single path described from the average result of its simulations. The estimated average for Roma is €70.7m, while 90% of the scenarios produced a total between €56.3m and €97.7m. The gap is explained by the many possible developments in the competition: an early exit reduces the prizes, a longer run increases them. That range describes the model's predictions and is not a guarantee of income.
The firm foundation of the analysis remains the €53.1m already secured. From there, every result can add to the value of Roma's Champions League campaign. The calculation concerns UEFA prizes, and to these are added the gate receipts from home matches at the Olimpico, which further contribute to the economic weight of taking part.
